What are the current odds for "Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 2.3% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $14.9K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 2.3% or No shares at 97.7%. The market has $9.5K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 months (Aug 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?

Updated 1 week ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé leaves Real Madrid at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Currently 2.3% on Polymarket, with $14,944 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

2.3%-0.02%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$43.48 return per $1

If No wins

$1.02 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé leaves Real Madrid at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid. A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid.

If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered.

If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid or Kylian Mbappé. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Listed on Polymarket May 7, 2026 · Resolves Aug 31, 2026