What are the current odds for "Will Iran Play in the World Cup?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 99.4% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $625.2K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Iran Play in the World Cup?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 99.4% or No shares at 0.6%. The market has $15.6K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 weeks (Aug 2, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketsports

Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

Updated 3 weeks ago

Iran is heavily favored at 99% to participate in at least one official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The market resolves No only if FIFA or Iran's Football Federation officially announces the nation's removal or withdrawal before the tournament.

Current Probability

99.4%-0.00%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.01 return per $1

If No wins

$166.67 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Listed on Polymarket Apr 23, 2026 · Resolves Aug 2, 2026