What are the current odds for "Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 9.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $165.0K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 9.0% or No shares at 91.0%. The market has $18.3K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketcrypto

Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

Updated 21 hr ago

This market resolves to Yes if HYPE's market capitalization surpasses Solana's at any point through December 31, 2026, measured via CoinGecko data. Traders currently assign an 11% probability to HYPE flipping SOL by year-end.

Current Probability

9.0%-0.03%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$11.11 return per $1

If No wins

$1.10 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of HYPE (HYPE) surpasses that of Solana (SOL) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/solana, respectively.

If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.

View full rules

Listed on Polymarket Apr 28, 2026 · Resolves Dec 31, 2026