What are the current odds for "Will GameStop acquire eBay?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 12.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $2.11M in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will GameStop acquire eBay?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 12.5% or No shares at 87.5%. The market has $137.0K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Updated 3 hr ago

This market resolves Yes if GameStop officially announces an acquisition or merger with eBay by December 31, 2026. Markets currently price an announcement at 17% probability, though the deal need not close for resolution.

Current Probability

12.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$8.00 return per $1

If No wins

$1.14 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.

An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Listed on Polymarket May 4, 2026 · Resolves Dec 31, 2026