What are the current odds for "Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 10.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $4.2K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 10.0% or No shares at 90.0%. The market has $733 in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Updated 2 months ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Currently 10.0% on Polymarket, with $4,231 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

10.0%-0.03%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$10.00 return per $1

If No wins

$1.11 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.