What are the current odds for "Will any bracket survive the first round of the NCAA tournament?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 100.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $4.4K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will any bracket survive the first round of the NCAA tournament?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 100.0% or No shares at 0.0%. The market has $26.6K in liquidity.

Polymarketsports

Will any bracket survive the first round of the NCAA tournament?

Updated 3 months ago

Will any bracket survive the first round of the NCAA tournament? Currently trading at 100.0% on Polymarket, with $4,394 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

100.0%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.00 return per $1

If No wins

$2000.00 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if anyone completes a perfect bracket for the First Round (Round of 64) of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament on any of the following websites per the rules of the respective site: ESPN, NCAA.com, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, Kalshi. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A perfect bracket is defined exclusively as a bracket that selects the correct outcome of every game during the First Round (Round of 64) of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament. A perfect bracket only qualifies for a completed First Round. Perfect brackets for incomplete or partially completed First Rounds will not be considered. No form of ‘second chance’ bracket will be considered. Only brackets that can be verified as having been submitted before the start of the first Round of 64 game will be considered.

If the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament First Round is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from ESPN, NCAA, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, or Kalshi.

Listed on Polymarket Mar 20, 2026

Price History