What are the current odds for "Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 6.6% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $171.4K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 6.6% or No shares at 93.5%. The market has $985 in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 2 months (Sep 10, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?

Updated 1 month ago

Aaron Rodgers could announce his retirement before the 2026-2027 NFL season begins in September 2026. Markets currently give this outcome just a 7% chance, though an official announcement of retirement taking effect before that date would qualify for resolution.

Current Probability

6.6%-0.02%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$15.27 return per $1

If No wins

$1.07 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Aaron Rodgers retires from the NFL before the start of the 2026-2027 NFL regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement from Rodgers that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred, as long as the announced retirement is stated to take effect before the start of the 2026-2027 NFL regular season. Announcements that Rodgers will retire after the start of the 2026-2027 NFL regular season will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Aaron Rodgers, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Listed on Polymarket Dec 9, 2025 · Resolves Sep 10, 2026