What are the current odds for "U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 77.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $12.4K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 77.0% or No shares at 23.0%. The market has $7.1K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 2 weeks (Jul 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketpolitics

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

Updated 3 weeks ago

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Currently 77.0% on Polymarket, with $12,385 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

77.0%-0.05%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.30 return per $1

If No wins

$4.35 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.

Listed on Polymarket Apr 28, 2026 · Resolves Jul 31, 2026

Price History