What are the current odds for "UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 4.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $109.6K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 4.0% or No shares at 96.0%. The market has $33.6K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

Updated 3 days ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the United Arab Emirates (UAE) or Saudi Arabia formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with the other by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Currently 4.0% on Polymarket, with $109,579 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

4.0%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$24.69 return per $1

If No wins

$1.04 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

The primary resolution source will be official information from either respective government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Listed on Polymarket Apr 28, 2026 · Resolves Dec 31, 2026