What are the current odds for "Trump on $250 bill this year?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 2.3% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $24.3K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Trump on $250 bill this year?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 2.3% or No shares at 97.8%. The market has $36.4K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketpolitics

Trump on $250 bill this year?

Updated 4 hr ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Currently 2.3% on Polymarket, with $24,345 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

2.3%-0.00%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$44.44 return per $1

If No wins

$1.02 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.

A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.

A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Listed on Polymarket May 28, 2026 · Resolves Dec 31, 2026