What are the current odds for "Trump goes to space in 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 1.8% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $39.9K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Trump goes to space in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 1.8% or No shares at 98.3%. The market has $49.4K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketpolitics

Trump goes to space in 2026?

Updated 24 min ago

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Currently 1.8% on Polymarket, with $39,870 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

1.8%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$57.14 return per $1

If No wins

$1.02 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Listed on Polymarket Apr 30, 2026 · Resolves Dec 31, 2026