
Updated 4 weeks ago
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day? This market resolved at 100.0% on Polymarket, with $38,643 in total trading volume.
Current Probability
If Up wins
$1.00 return per $1
If Down wins
N/A
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s second day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
Listed on Polymarket Jun 9, 2026
Resolution In Review
Trading has closed and the UMA oracle is finalizing the outcome. This usually means a resolution has been proposed and is within the dispute window, or has been disputed and is being re-proposed. Final payouts are not yet settled.
Price Changes
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Anthropic IPO before 2027?
KOSPI all-time high before 2028?
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Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?
Outcome: SpaceXAI
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Outcome: 25 bps increase
Federal Reserve interest rate decision, October 2026
Outcome: No change
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Outcome: No change