
Updated 4 weeks ago
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day? This market resolved at 100.0% on Polymarket, with $38,190 in total trading volume.
Current Probability
If Up wins
$1.00 return per $1
If Down wins
N/A
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official opening or closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which both an official opening and closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Listed on Polymarket Jun 9, 2026
Resolution In Review
Trading has closed and the UMA oracle is finalizing the outcome. This usually means a resolution has been proposed and is within the dispute window, or has been disputed and is being re-proposed. Final payouts are not yet settled.
Price Changes
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Will Polymarket IPO by December 31, 2026?
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?
Will Polymarket IPO by June 30, 2027?
Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $39,000 (HIGH) in December?
Will Nasdaq-100 be above $30,978 at 20:00 UTC on October 12, 2026?
Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $21,000 (LOW) in December?
Will S&P 500 be above $7,823 at 20:00 UTC on October 12, 2026?
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?
Federal Reserve interest rate decision, October 2026
Outcome: No change
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Outcome: 25 bps increase
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Outcome: No change
Will Polymarket's IPO market cap be above $25B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Outcome: $25B