What are the current odds for "Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 6.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $55.3K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 6.5% or No shares at 93.5%. The market has $71.0K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketeconomics

Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?

Updated 2 days ago

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of MicroStrategy Chairman Michael Saylor between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Currently 6.5% on Polymarket, with $55,333 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

6.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$15.38 return per $1

If No wins

$1.07 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

It will not be relevant for this market if Michael Saylor is no longer Chairman of Microstrategy at any point.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Listed on Polymarket Jun 26, 2026 · Resolves Dec 31, 2026