What are the current odds for "LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give Over a 97.3% probability. This market is trading on Polymarket with $2.7K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Over shares at 97.3% or Under shares at 2.7%. The market has $7.3K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Nov 4, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

PolymarketpoliticsMulti-Outcome

LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?

Over

Updated 4 weeks ago

The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. Currently 97.3% on Polymarket, with $2,742 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

97.3%+0.04%24h

Trade on Polymarket

OverUnder

If Over wins

$1.03 return per $1

If Under wins

$36.36 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.

This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.

The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.

If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.

Listed on Polymarket Jun 7, 2026 · Resolves Nov 4, 2026