What are the current odds for "Is Earth flat?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 1.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $44.5K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Is Earth flat?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 1.0% or No shares at 99.0%. The market has $220.5K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Jan 1, 2027). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Is Earth flat?

Updated 6 min ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive proof that the earth is flat becomes public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Currently 1.0% on Polymarket, with $44,515 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

1.0%-0.00%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$100.00 return per $1

If No wins

$1.01 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive proof that the earth is flat becomes public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Listed on Polymarket Jun 8, 2026 · Resolves Jan 1, 2027