What are the current odds for "Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 3.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $16.81M in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 3.0% or No shares at 97.0%. The market has $545.3K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Updated 1 min ago

The World Health Organization would need to explicitly label a Hantavirus or related outbreak as a "pandemic" in official communications for this market to resolve Yes by year-end 2026, currently priced at 7%.

Current Probability

3.0%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$32.79 return per $1

If No wins

$1.03 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Listed on Polymarket May 4, 2026 · Resolves Dec 31, 2026