What are the current odds for "GTA VI released before November 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 3.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $33.6K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "GTA VI released before November 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 3.5% or No shares at 96.5%. The market has $23.2K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Oct 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

GTA VI released before November 2026?

Updated 10 min ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Currently 3.5% on Polymarket, with $33,629 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

3.5%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$28.17 return per $1

If No wins

$1.04 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.

Listed on Polymarket May 26, 2026 · Resolves Oct 31, 2026