What are the current odds for "Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 12.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $2.0K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 12.0% or No shares at 88.0%. The market has $11.7K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?

Updated 4 weeks ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Currently 12.0% on Polymarket, with $1,992 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

12.0%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$8.33 return per $1

If No wins

$1.14 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Listed on Polymarket May 25, 2026 · Resolves Dec 31, 2026