What are the current odds for "Diddy released from custody in 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 10.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $1.3K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Diddy released from custody in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 10.5% or No shares at 89.5%. The market has $3.3K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Diddy released from custody in 2026?

Updated 2 months ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean "Diddy" Combs is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Currently 10.5% on Polymarket, with $1,270 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

10.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$9.52 return per $1

If No wins

$1.12 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean "Diddy" Combs is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Listed on Polymarket Apr 23, 2026 · Resolves Dec 31, 2026