Updated 1 month ago
Winner: Hakainde Hichilemaon Aug 18, 2026
Winner
What happened
Resolved 2026-08-13
Hakainde Hichilema won Zambia's presidential election on August 13, 2026, securing 56.2% of the vote to defeat opposition candidate Brian Mundubile's 39.6%, confirming what markets had priced at 95% the day before. The incumbent UPND president's victory consolidated his economic reforms and steered the southern African copper producer through debt restructuring.
Before Zambia Presidential Election Winner ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Hakainde Hichilema: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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