Updated 2 months ago
If [outcome] wins the PGA Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Aaron Raion May 17, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-05-17
Aaron Rai won the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club with a final score of 9-under 271, defeating runners-up Jon Rahm and Alex Smalley by three strokes. The 31-year-old Englishman carded a final-round 65 and became the first English-born player to win the PGA Championship since Jim Barnes in 1919, snapping a 10-year streak of American winners.
Before PGA Championship Winner resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Aaron Rai: 100%, Tyrrell Hatton: 3%, Adam Scott: 2%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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