Who will finish first in the 2026 Likud primary?
Updated 15 hr ago
If Yariv Levin is the top nationwide vote-getter in the 2026 Likud primary for its 26th Knesset candidate list, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Eli Cohen
Before Who will finish first in the 2026 Likud primary? resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Eli Cohen: 99%, Boaz Bismuth: 4%, Ofir Katz: 4%, Moshe Saada: 4%, David Amsalem: 4%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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