Updated 2 months ago
If [outcome] wins Stage 17 in the 2026 Tour de France Cycling Grand Tour originally scheduled on Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Jasper Philipsenon Jul 26, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-23
Jasper Philipsen won Stage 17 of the 2026 Tour de France on July 23, beating Mauro Schmid and Olav Kooij in a chaotic reduced sprint from a large breakaway on the flat 174.7km stage from Chambéry to Voiron. Perfectly led out by his Alpecin-Premier Tech teammate Mathieu van der Poel in the final kilometers, Philipsen claimed his first stage victory of the race after a disappointing opening two weeks.
Before Tour de France: Stage 17 Winner resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Jasper Philipsen: 99%, Edward Planckaert: 20%, Per Strand Hagenes: 17%, Filippo Ganna: 5%, Isaac Del Toro Romero: 4%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
