Updated 2 months ago
If [outcome] wins Stage 13 in the 2026 Tour de France Cycling Grand Tour originally scheduled on Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Mauro Schmidon Jul 26, 2026
Before Tour de France: Stage 13 Winner resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Mauro Schmid: 99%, Michael Matthews: 45%, Mads Pedersen: 35%, Lucas Plapp: 34%, Harold Tejada: 25%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
