Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?
Updated 2 months ago
If [outcome] votes Yea for Todd Blanche for Attorney General before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winners: Thom Tillis, Tommy Tuberville, Jon Husted, John Curtis, John Thune, Rand Paul, Bill Cassidy, John Cornyn
What happened
Resolved 2026-08-08
John Curtis, Bill Cassidy, and John Thune voted to confirm Todd Blanche as attorney general on August 8, 2026, in a 50-49 Senate vote that confirmed markets had priced their support at 99% or higher the day before. Blanche secured confirmation despite opposition from Senators Susan Collins and Lisa Murkowski, with Cassidy's late announcement of support proving decisive to avoid defeat.
Before Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche? resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Thom Tillis: 99%, Tommy Tuberville: 99%, Jon Husted: 99%, John Curtis: 99%, John Thune: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
4pp6pp3pp6pp
