2026 ESPYS: Best Breakthrough Athlete
Updated 3 months ago
If Tie wins Best Breakthrough Athlete at the the 2026 ESPYS, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Alysa Liuon Jul 17, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-15
Alysa Liu won the 2026 ESPY Award for Best Breakthrough Athlete on July 15, 2026, confirming markets' 88% pricing of the Olympic figure skater ahead of Heisman Trophy winner Fernando Mendoza, Patriots quarterback Drake Maye, and Sharks forward Macklin Celebrini. Liu's victory continued a historic five-year win streak for female athletes in the category, with women accounting for every winner since 2022 after winning just once in the award's first 29 years.
Before 2026 ESPYS: Best Breakthrough Athlete resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Alysa Liu: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
