Updated 2 months ago
If Tie is the result of the first half in the Paraguay vs France professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 4, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Tie 1st Halfon Jul 5, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-04
The first half of France's 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 match against Paraguay ended in a 0-0 tie on July 4, 2026, at Philadelphia Stadium. Paraguay's defensive approach successfully frustrated the French attack, preventing any breakthrough before halftime. France ultimately won the match 1-0 after the restart with a penalty conversion from Kylian Mbappé in the 69th minute.
Before Paraguay vs France: First Half Winner resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Tie 1st Half: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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