Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
Updated just now
If the United States federal government is at least partially shut down due to a lapse of appropriations at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of September 7, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026? are: Yes: 2%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026? is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
