Unemployment in August
Updated 6 days ago
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is [outcome] in August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Thresholds up through 4 resolved YES; 4.1 and above resolved NO — placing the final value in the 4–4.1 bandon Sep 4, 2026
Before Unemployment in August resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Above 3.9%: 99%, Above 3.8%: 99%, Above 3.7%: 97%, Above 4.0%: 86%, Above 4.1%: 48%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
2pp
