S&P price range on Aug 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Updated 2 months ago
If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on August 07, 2026 is above 7774.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
What happened
Resolved 2026-08-07
The S&P 500 closed at 7,756.44 on August 7, 2026, capturing the 7,750-7,774.9999 range in a major upset the markets had priced at just 13% probability the day before. The surge followed unexpectedly weak July jobs data showing nonfarm payrolls fell 23,000, well below the expected 80,000 gain, fueling investor expectations that the Federal Reserve would hold interest rates steady rather than hike in September.
Before S&P price range on Aug 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT? resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: 7,750 to 7,774.9999: 99%, 7,775 or above: 6%, 7,575 to 7,599.9999: 5%, 7,525 to 7,549.9999: 4%, 7,500 to 7,524.9999: 4%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
Winner: 7,750 to 7,774.9999on Aug 7, 2026
