Before Aug 8, 2026When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
Updated 6h ago
If the Senate has conducted any recorded vote on the CLARITY Act after Issuance and [outcome], then the market resolves to Yes.
Market analysis
Analysis generated Sep 2, 2026
Kalshi's 93% "Before Oct 1" pricing reflects high confidence that the Senate will hold a procedural cloture vote on the Clarity Act by mid-September, with Majority Leader Thune scheduling it for September 15. The vote itself is merely a motion to proceed (not a final passage vote), requiring 60 votes to advance—a hurdle made steeper by Democratic resistance over ethics provisions targeting government officials' crypto ties. The tight Senate math and limited September floor days before midterm campaigning create pressure, but the scheduled vote date is firmer than the bill's ultimate passage prospects.
As of September 9, 2026, the Kalshi odds for When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act? are: Before Jan 1, 2027: 94%, Before Oct 1, 2026: 93%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act? is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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