Updated 2 months ago
If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Aug 7, 2026 at 12pm EDT is above 31389.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Thresholds up through 29700 resolved YES; 29710 and above resolved NO — placing the final value in the 29700–29710 bandon Aug 7, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-08-07
The Nasdaq-100 closed at or above 29,490 on August 7, 2026, confirming what prediction markets had priced at 99% the day before. The tech-heavy index extended its weekly gains as traders focused on moderate economic data and Fed policy expectations.
Before Nasdaq-100 price on Aug 7, 2026 at 12pm EDT? resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: 29,600 or above: 99%, 29,670 or above: 99%, 29,640 or above: 99%, 29,490 or above: 99%, 29,610 or above: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
