Gold price on August 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Updated 1 month ago
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4811.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
What happened
Resolved 2026-08-31
Gold closed at $4431.82 per ounce on August 31, 2026, well above the $3371.99 threshold. The outcome confirmed what markets had priced at 99% confidence the day before, with the precious metal finishing down 0.50% for the day amid U.S. military escalation in the Middle East and Fed rate-hike expectations.
Before Gold price on August 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Above $3251.99: 99%, Above $3491.99: 99%, Above $3611.99: 99%, Above $3331.99: 99%, Above $3371.99: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
Thresholds up through 4411.99 resolved YES; 4451.99 and above resolved NO — placing the final value in the 4411.99–4451.99 bandon Aug 31, 2026
