Updated 2 months ago
If England wins 4-3 in the England vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Reg Time: Argentina wins 2-1on Jul 15, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-15
Argentina defeated England 2-1 in regulation during the 2026 FIFA World Cup semifinal on July 15 in Atlanta. Anthony Gordon gave England a 1-0 lead in the 55th minute, but Argentina stormed back with late goals from Enzo Fernández in the 85th minute and Lautaro Martínez in stoppage time—both assisted by Lionel Messi—to complete yet another dramatic comeback and advance to the World Cup final against Spain.
Before England vs Argentina: Regulation Time Correct Score resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Reg Time: Argentina wins 2-1: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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