Lowest daily Arctic sea ice extent in summer 2026
Updated 8m ago
If the National Snow & Ice Data Center records a day between December 19, 2025 and October 01, 2026 where the extent of arctic sea ice is below 4.8 million square kilometers, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of August 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Lowest daily Arctic sea ice extent in summer 2026 are: Below 4.8 million sq km: 98%, Below 4.6 million sq km: 86%, Below 4.5 million sq km: 77%, Below 4.4 million sq km: 67%, Below 4.3 million sq km: 57%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Lowest daily Arctic sea ice extent in summer 2026 is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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