5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026?
Updated 35m ago
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.58% on Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of August 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for 5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026? are: 4.31% or above: 66%, 4.33% or above: 64%, 4.35% or above: 63%, 4.37% or above: 59%, 4.39% or above: 54%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026? is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
Buy
