10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026?
Updated 19m ago
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.88% on Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of August 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for 10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026? are: 4.41% or above: 98%, 4.45% or above: 97%, 4.47% or above: 96%, 4.49% or above: 95%, 4.43% or above: 93%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026? is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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