Argentina to win in Extra Time
Switzerland to win in Extra TimeSwitzerland to win in Regulation Time
Argentina to win in Penalty ShootoutArgentina vs Switzerland: Method of Victory
Updated 3 months ago
If Switzerland advances past Argentina in the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Quarterfinal soccer tie originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026 via victory in Regulation Time, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Argentina to win in Extra Timeon Jul 12, 2026
WinnerWhat happened
Resolved 2026-07-11
Argentina defeated Switzerland 3-1 in extra time during the FIFA World Cup 2026 quarterfinal on July 11 at Kansas City Stadium. Julián Álvarez scored the decisive goal in the 112th minute from outside the box after Switzerland had been reduced to ten players due to Breel Embolo's controversial red card for simulation. The defending champions advanced to face England in the semifinals.
Before Argentina vs Switzerland: Method of Victory resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Argentina to win in Extra Time: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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