Updated 3 months ago
If [outcome] wins the Travaglia vs Navone professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bastad Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Stefano Travagliaon Jul 15, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-15
Mariano Navone defeated Stefano Travaglia 6-4, 6-2 in the second round of the 2026 Swedish Open (Nordea Open) in Bastad on July 15, a genuine upset after Navone was priced at just 6% the day before. Navone's aggressive baseline play on the Swedish clay proved decisive, propelling the Argentine past the lower-ranked Italian veteran to advance to the quarterfinals.
Before Travaglia vs Navone resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Stefano Travaglia: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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