Updated 2 months ago
If [outcome] wins the Williams vs Joint professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Women Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Maya Jointon Jun 29, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-06-30
Maya Joint defeated Serena Williams 6-3, 6-7 (6), 6-3 in the first round of Wimbledon 2026 on June 30, ending Williams' comeback match after nearly four years away from Grand Slam singles competition. Joint rallied from being down 2-1 in the third set, breaking Williams and holding her nerve to seal the biggest victory of her career on Centre Court.
Before Williams vs Joint resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Maya Joint: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
4pp
