Updated 2 months ago
If [outcome] wins the Chimaev vs Strickland professional MMA fight originally scheduled for May 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Sean Stricklandon May 10, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-05-09
Sean Strickland defeated previously unbeaten Khamzat Chimaev by split decision at UFC 328 on May 9, 2026, in Newark, New Jersey, with two judges scoring the bout 48-47 for Strickland and one scoring it 48-47 for Chimaev. The victory made Strickland a two-time UFC middleweight champion and handed Chimaev his first career loss despite the challenger entering as a heavy underdog.
Before UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Sean Strickland: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
