Russia Enters Havrylivka by Sep 30

Before Will Russia enter Havrylivka by...? ended, the final Polymarket odds were: July 31: 6%, May 31: 2%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.

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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.