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Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q1 2026?
kalshi📈 economics|8 outcomes

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q1 2026?

If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 4.5, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume:$101,089
Resolves:Apr 30, 2026

All Outcomes

Leading

Above 1.0%

$17,411 vol-0.04% 24h
72.0%

Above 1.5%

$26,357 vol-0.13% 24h
59.0%

Above 2.0%

$25,967 vol-0.15% 24h
48.0%

Above 2.5%

$28,298 vol-0.09% 24h
39.0%

Above 3.0%

$24,240 vol-0.05% 24h
32.0%

Above 3.5%

$15,304 vol-0.08% 24h
22.0%

Above 4.0%

$12,470 vol-0.11% 24h
9.0%

Above 4.5%

$752 vol+0.03% 24h
6.0%