US Open Women's Singles Winner
Updated 1m ago
If [outcome] wins the 2026 US Open Women's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Market analysis
Analysis generated Sep 11, 2026
Kalshi prices defending two-time champion Sabalenka as the 50% favorite to win, with Rybakina (the newly crowned world No. 1) at 25%, Gauff at 21%, and Pegula at 9% as the semifinals begin. The market heavily backs Sabalenka's track record at this event and experience despite Rybakina's recent ranking ascent; all four semifinalists are top seeds, setting up either a Sabalenka-Rybakina or Sabalenka-Gauff final. Pegula's long odds reflect her underdog status against Sabalenka, whom she faces tonight, despite winning their most recent match in Berlin.
As of September 11, 2026, the Kalshi odds for US Open Women's Singles Winner are: Aryna Sabalenka: 57%, Elena Rybakina: 42%, Iga Swiatek: 2%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
US Open Women's Singles Winner is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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