When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Updated 3 days ago
If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater [outcome], then the market resolves to Yes.
Winners: Before Nov 1, 2026, Before Oct 1, 2026, Before 2027, Before Sep 16, 2026
Before When will OpenAI release GPT-6? resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Before Nov 1, 2026: 99%, Before Oct 1, 2026: 99%, Before 2027: 99%, Before Sep 16, 2026: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.