Updated 3 months ago
If Norway records above 2.5 goals in the Norway vs England professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Winners: Reg Time: England over 0.5 goals, Reg Time: Norway over 0.5 goalson Jul 12, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-11
In the FIFA World Cup 2026 quarter-final on July 11, Norway scored 1 regulation-time goal (through Andreas Schjelderup at 36 minutes), satisfying the market prediction of "Reg Time: Norway over 0.5 goals." England ultimately won 2-1 in extra time with two Jude Bellingham goals, advancing to the semi-finals while Norway's memorable World Cup run ended.
Before Norway vs England: Regulation Time Team Total resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Reg Time: England over 0.5 goals: 99%, Reg Time: Norway over 0.5 goals: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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