Updated 7m ago
If USDA NASS reports that Nebraska’s corn for grain yield per harvested acre in 2026 is above 190 bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes.
Market analysis
Analysis generated Sep 15, 2026
Kalshi odds price Nebraska 2026 corn yields in the 175–180 bu/acre range, significantly below the state's 2025 record of 194 bu/acre and well below peer historical performance. Current crop conditions (55% rated good-to-excellent as of mid-September) support the market's caution: UNL forecasters warned in August of warm nights pressuring irrigated yields across eastern and southwestern Nebraska, and earlier seasonal reports flagged below-average rainfall. The national USDA forecast of 180.7 bu/acre provides a ceiling; market pricing implies Nebraska underperforms the national trend, reflecting the state's earlier drought stress and irrigation headwinds.
As of October 11, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Nebraska corn yield in 2026 are: Above 170 bu/acre: 96%, Above 175 bu/acre: 85%, Above 180 bu/acre: 75%, Above 185 bu/acre: 68%, Above 190 bu/acre: 32%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Nebraska corn yield in 2026 is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
