330: Wells vs Uulu
Updated 1 month ago
If [outcome] wins the Wells vs Uulu professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Jeremiah Wellson Aug 16, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-08-15
Jeremiah Wells pulled off a stunning upset of Myktybek Orolbai at UFC 330, securing a submission victory at 1:24 of Round 3 on August 15 in Philadelphia. The win defied markets that had priced Wells at just 12% the day before, while Orolbai—riding a 3-0 unbeaten streak—sat at 89%. Wells' third-round finish crushed what appeared a heavily favored matchup in Orolbai's favor.
Before 330: Wells vs Uulu resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Jeremiah Wells: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
