Updated 2 months ago
If Japan records above 2.5 goals in the Brazil vs Japan professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Winners: Reg Time: Brazil over 0.5 goals, Reg Time: Brazil over 1.5 goals, Reg Time: Japan over 0.5 goalson Jun 29, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-06-29
Brazil defeated Japan 2-1 in a 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 match on June 29, securing the over 0.5 goals outcome. Casemiro equalized in the 56th minute before Gabriel Martinelli scored the dramatic winner in stoppage time at 90+5 minutes, allowing Brazil to advance to the Round of 16.
Before Brazil vs Japan: Regulation Time Team Total resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Reg Time: Brazil over 0.5 goals: 99%, Reg Time: Brazil over 1.5 goals: 99%, Reg Time: Japan over 0.5 goals: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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